Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe; Estomih S. Massawe; Oluwole Daniel Makinde

doi:doi:10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe, Estomih S. Massawe, Oluwole Daniel Makinde

Published in Applied and Computational Mathematics (Volume 4, Issue 3)

Received: 13 May 2015 Accepted: 26 May 2015 Published: 8 June 2015

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Abstract

In this paper a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of dengue fever disease is presented. We present a SITR (susceptible, infected, treated, recovery) and ASI (aquatic, susceptible, infected) epidemic model to describe the interaction between human and dengue fever mosquito populations. In order to assess the transmission of Dengue fever disease, the susceptible population is divided into two, namely, careful and careless human susceptible population. The model presents four possible equilibria: two disease-free and two endemic equilibrium.The results show that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is less than unity. Endemic equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions using additive compound matrix and Lyapunov method respectively. Sensitivity analysis of the model is implemented in order to investigate the sensitivity of certain key parameters of dengue fever disease with treatment, Careful and Careless Susceptibles on the transmission of Dengue fever Disease.

Published in	Applied and Computational Mathematics (Volume 4, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
Page(s)	192-206
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Dengue Fever Disease, Careful, Careless, Susceptibles, Equilibrium, Stability, Reproduction Number

References

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[3]	Seidu, B. and Makinde, O.D. ( 2014). Optimal Control of HIV/AIDS in the Workplace in the Presence of Careless Individuals. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine , 1- 19
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[8]	Ozair, M., Lashari, A.A., Jung, Il. H., and Okosun, K.O. (2012). Stability Analysis and Optimal Control of a Vector-Borne Disease with Nonlinear Incidence. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 1-21.
[9]	Rodrigues, H.S., Monteiro, M.T.T., and Torres, D.F.M. (2011) Dengue disease, basic reproduction number and control. International Journal of Computer Mathematics, 1–13
[10]	Rodrigues, H.S., Monteiro, M.T.T., and Torres, D.F.M. (2012). Modeling and Optimal Control Applied to a Vector Borne Disease. International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE,1063-1070.
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[12]	Massawe, L.N., Massawe, E.S., and Makinde, O.D.(2015). Temporal model for dengue disease with treatment. Advances in Infectious Diseases, 5, 21-36
[13]	Rodrigues, H.S., Monteiro, M.T.T., and Torres, D.F.M (2013). Sensitivity Analysis in a Dengue Epidemiological Model. Conference Papers in Mathematics, vol. 2013
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[15]	Lashari, A.A., Hattaf, K., Zaman, G., and Li, Xue-Zhi. (2013) Backward bifurcation and optimal control of a vector borne disease, Appl. Math. Inf. Sci. 7 (1) 301-309
[16]	Ratera, S., Massawe, E.S., and Makinde, O.D.(2012) Modelling the Effect of Screening and Treatment on Transmission of HIV/AIDS infection in Population, American Journal of Mathematics and Statistics,2(4), 75-88.
[17]	Dumont, Y. Chiroleu, F., and Domerg, C.(2008). “On a temporal model for the Chikungunya disease: modelling, theory and numerics,” Mathematical Biosciences, 213(1), 80–91.
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Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe, Estomih S. Massawe, Oluwole Daniel Makinde. (2015). Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Applied and Computational Mathematics, 4(3), 192-206. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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ACS Style

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe; Estomih S. Massawe; Oluwole Daniel Makinde. Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Appl. Comput. Math. 2015, 4(3), 192-206. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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AMA Style

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe, Estomih S. Massawe, Oluwole Daniel Makinde. Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Appl Comput Math. 2015;4(3):192-206. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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@article{10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22,
  author = {Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe and Estomih S. Massawe and Oluwole Daniel Makinde},
  title = {Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic},
  journal = {Applied and Computational Mathematics},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {192-206},
  doi = {10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.acm.20150403.22},
  abstract = {In this paper a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of dengue fever disease is presented. We present a SITR (susceptible, infected, treated, recovery) and ASI (aquatic, susceptible, infected) epidemic model to describe the interaction between human and dengue fever mosquito populations. In order to assess the transmission of Dengue fever disease, the susceptible population is divided into two, namely, careful and careless human susceptible population. The model presents four possible equilibria: two disease-free and two endemic equilibrium.The results show that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is less than unity. Endemic equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions using additive compound matrix and Lyapunov method respectively. Sensitivity analysis of the model is implemented in order to investigate the sensitivity of certain key parameters of dengue fever disease with treatment, Careful and Careless Susceptibles on the transmission of Dengue fever Disease.},
 year = {2015}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic
AU  - Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe
AU  - Estomih S. Massawe
AU  - Oluwole Daniel Makinde
Y1  - 2015/06/08
PY  - 2015
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
DO  - 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
T2  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
JF  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
JO  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
SP  - 192
EP  - 206
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-5613
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
AB  - In this paper a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of dengue fever disease is presented. We present a SITR (susceptible, infected, treated, recovery) and ASI (aquatic, susceptible, infected) epidemic model to describe the interaction between human and dengue fever mosquito populations. In order to assess the transmission of Dengue fever disease, the susceptible population is divided into two, namely, careful and careless human susceptible population. The model presents four possible equilibria: two disease-free and two endemic equilibrium.The results show that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is less than unity. Endemic equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions using additive compound matrix and Lyapunov method respectively. Sensitivity analysis of the model is implemented in order to investigate the sensitivity of certain key parameters of dengue fever disease with treatment, Careful and Careless Susceptibles on the transmission of Dengue fever Disease.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

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Author Information

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe

Faculty of Science, Technology and Environmental Studies, the Open University of Tanzania, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
Estomih S. Massawe

Mathematics Department, University of Dar es salaam, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
Oluwole Daniel Makinde

Faculty of Military Science, Stellenbosch University, Saldanha, South Africa

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APA Style

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe, Estomih S. Massawe, Oluwole Daniel Makinde. (2015). Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Applied and Computational Mathematics, 4(3), 192-206. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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ACS Style

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe; Estomih S. Massawe; Oluwole Daniel Makinde. Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Appl. Comput. Math. 2015, 4(3), 192-206. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

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AMA Style

Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe, Estomih S. Massawe, Oluwole Daniel Makinde. Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic. Appl Comput Math. 2015;4(3):192-206. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22,
  author = {Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe and Estomih S. Massawe and Oluwole Daniel Makinde},
  title = {Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic},
  journal = {Applied and Computational Mathematics},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {192-206},
  doi = {10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.acm.20150403.22},
  abstract = {In this paper a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of dengue fever disease is presented. We present a SITR (susceptible, infected, treated, recovery) and ASI (aquatic, susceptible, infected) epidemic model to describe the interaction between human and dengue fever mosquito populations. In order to assess the transmission of Dengue fever disease, the susceptible population is divided into two, namely, careful and careless human susceptible population. The model presents four possible equilibria: two disease-free and two endemic equilibrium.The results show that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is less than unity. Endemic equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions using additive compound matrix and Lyapunov method respectively. Sensitivity analysis of the model is implemented in order to investigate the sensitivity of certain key parameters of dengue fever disease with treatment, Careful and Careless Susceptibles on the transmission of Dengue fever Disease.},
 year = {2015}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Modelling Infectiology of Dengue Epidemic
AU  - Laurencia Ndelamo Massawe
AU  - Estomih S. Massawe
AU  - Oluwole Daniel Makinde
Y1  - 2015/06/08
PY  - 2015
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
DO  - 10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
T2  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
JF  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
JO  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
SP  - 192
EP  - 206
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-5613
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20150403.22
AB  - In this paper a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of dengue fever disease is presented. We present a SITR (susceptible, infected, treated, recovery) and ASI (aquatic, susceptible, infected) epidemic model to describe the interaction between human and dengue fever mosquito populations. In order to assess the transmission of Dengue fever disease, the susceptible population is divided into two, namely, careful and careless human susceptible population. The model presents four possible equilibria: two disease-free and two endemic equilibrium.The results show that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is less than unity. Endemic equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions using additive compound matrix and Lyapunov method respectively. Sensitivity analysis of the model is implemented in order to investigate the sensitivity of certain key parameters of dengue fever disease with treatment, Careful and Careless Susceptibles on the transmission of Dengue fever Disease.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download